Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 58.674793 65.622919 72.840517 80.879692 89.565451 98.648842 108.847971
2024-10-06 48.576641 58.906462 70.267066 83.606910 98.758131 115.349453 134.806783
2024-10-13 42.302905 54.288710 67.998512 84.674306 104.238349 126.294034 152.862656
2024-10-20 37.371119 50.434846 65.900730 85.288884 108.661649 135.649120 168.871674
2024-10-27 32.166054 45.591774 62.021109 83.211042 109.405924 140.317411 179.118105
2024-11-03 30.190107 44.521450 62.529156 86.278932 116.213702 152.128955 197.875457
2024-11-10 27.915997 42.806087 62.004441 87.872323 121.081093 161.546916 213.793185
2024-11-17 25.314775 40.396662 60.355979 87.828586 123.739774 168.162790 226.271754
2024-11-24 24.181944 39.887715 61.123065 90.861527 130.300663 179.674298 244.925556
2024-12-01 22.085474 37.825776 59.627598 90.750979 132.687427 185.874530 256.949230
2024-12-08 19.906262 35.454165 57.531521 89.668512 133.666316 190.193684 266.562460
2024-12-15 18.290196 33.786775 56.302137 89.663571 135.997831 196.217476 278.366166
2024-12-22 16.898648 32.391895 55.426702 90.162767 139.089039 203.393633 291.937964
2024-12-29 16.425902 32.420307 56.633505 93.647209 146.347311 216.205745 313.080632
2025-01-05 15.372591 31.409564 56.206854 94.716963 150.232338 224.543543 328.424810
2025-01-12 14.319414 30.306466 55.560182 95.401281 153.543309 232.117518 342.821665
2025-01-19 12.693524 28.074099 53.019915 93.138308 152.557563 233.782113 349.292258
2025-01-26 12.419874 28.199843 54.196090 96.475536 159.634293 246.540803 370.792235
2025-02-02 11.830502 27.703407 54.333024 98.207510 164.396196 256.158360 388.149315
2025-02-09 10.936837 26.566010 53.354018 98.159991 166.524748 262.123538 400.587447
2025-02-16 10.731724 26.716564 54.507399 101.455129 173.621443 275.103582 422.749373
2025-02-23 9.929148 25.638234 53.529285 101.335064 175.615248 280.917836 435.111672
2025-03-02 9.014685 24.250472 51.939086 100.159251 175.964851 284.372471 444.215458